Sunday, October 16, 2022

CFOW Newsletter - Ukraine: How Can This War End?

Concerned Families of Westchester Newsletter
October 16, 2022
 
Hello All – This weekend, across the USA, protests demanding that our government take steps to end the war in Ukraine took place in dozens of cities. Similar demands arise around the world, especially in Europe; and at the UN 66 countries have urged negotiations to end the war.  As negotiations are not in sight and the military action seems stalemated, the collateral damage of this war – food supplies, a cold winter in Europe, etc. – has prompted a broad call to somehow end this nightmare.
 
Yes, Russia is the aggressor, the ultimate war crime.  In a better world, those responsible for this war would be held to account. But now, on the 60th anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis, a looming question is whether (or not) Russia would use "tactical" (i.e. smaller than used in Hiroshima) nuclear weapons if it faced significant losses or Ukraine/NATO somehow carried this war into Russia itself.
 
The paradox of this war is that serious scholars believe that neither party to this war will be ready to negotiate as long as they feel they have a chance of winning the war.  And yet the same scholars believe that the Russians may use battlefield nuclear weapons if they were facing military defeat.  As hardly a week goes by without the Biden administration and Congress shoveling out millions of dollars worth of weapons to Ukraine, it looks like we are doomed for endless war until the USA decides that enough is enough, or until Russia brings out its nuclear weapons.
 
Somehow, the war must stop. We don't know if negotiations are possible.  Both Russia and Ukraine refuse to compromise, and the announced war aim of the USA (Secretary of Defense Austin) is to use the war to fatally weaken Russia. But we have no other option than to press for negotiations, to call on the USA/NATO to make clear that Ukraine will not join NATO, and to explain to Ukraine that a territorial compromise – rather than evicting Russia from Crimea – must be considered.
 
  Some useful reading/viewing on the war in Ukraine
 
(Video) Medea Benjamin & Nicolas Davies: "Negotiations 'Still the Only Way Forward' to End Ukraine War"
From Democracy Now! [October 12, 2022]
---- The Biden administration has ruled out the idea of pushing Ukraine to negotiate with Russia to end the war, even though many U.S. officials believe neither side is "capable of winning the war outright," reports The Washington Post. For more on the war, we speak with CodePink co-founder Medea Benjamin and independent journalist Nicolas Davies, the co-authors of the forthcoming book, "War in Ukraine: Making Sense of a Senseless Conflict." [See the Program] For an extended presentation of their views, read "Biden's Broken Promise to Avoid War with Russia May Kill Us All," by Medea Benjamin and Nicolas J.S. Davies, Code Pink [October 11, 2022] [Link].
 
(Video) Noam Chomsky & Vijay Prashad: U.S. Must Stop Undermining Negotiations with Russia to End Ukraine War
From Democracy Now! [October 10, 2022]
---- Russia has launched its largest strikes on Ukraine in months, attacking civilian areas in Kyiv and nine other cities just two days after President Vladimir Putin had accused Ukraine of blowing up a key bridge connecting Russia to Crimea. As the war continues to escalate in Ukraine, we feature an interview recorded earlier this month with world-renowned political dissident Noam Chomsky in Brazil and political writer Vijay Prashad. Chomsky discusses why he thinks there is no major U.S. peace movement in response to the Ukraine war, and talks about the dangerous U.S. Senate policy on China and Taiwan, which he says, along with Ukraine, could end in a "terminal war." [See the Program] Chomsky and Prashad have published a new book, "The Withdrawal: Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and the Fragility of U.S. Power." They talked about the book on an extended interview with Jacobin Magazine.
 
Is Putin on the way out?
By Anatol Lieven, Responsible Statecraft [October 11, 2022]
---- As Russian defeats in Ukraine mounted over the last month, so has speculation about President Vladimir Putin's survival in office, and talk in Washington and among Russian oppositionists of the need for the Biden administration to adopt "regime change" as an open U.S. strategy. In its approach to this question, the Biden administration should concentrate above all on the question of the relationship between the composition of the Russian leadership and the search for an end to the war in Ukraine. It would indeed be a very good thing if Putin were to be replaced. In fact, he should step down himself. … It is vital to note, however, that this opposition will come not only from opponents of the war, but even more dangerously for Putin from extreme nationalists who believe that the war should be waged more efficiently and ruthlessly. [Read More]
 
Things to Do
UN Day will be observed on Sunday, October 23rd.  A program of great interest, about Restorative Justice opportunities for youth in Westchester County, will be presented on-line by the United Nation Associations of Westchester and of the Bronx on Zoom at 3 p.m.  To register for the program, and for more information, go here.
 
Antisemitism is an on-going problem of great concern.  Yet an obstacle to achieving unity in combating antisemitism is the definition of antisemitism itself.  The official definition used by the US and much of the world is called IHRA, a definition developed by the International Holocaust Remembrance Association. This definition of antisemitism can be used to stigmatize criticism of the policies of Israel's government, participation in the BDS movement, or protests by student groups.  The admirable organization Palestine Legal has developed a useful critique of IHRA; and they will present and discuss alternatives to IHRA – "All About IHRA: A Policy Webinar" – on Wednesday, October 19th (Zoom) at 1 pm.  To register for the program, go here.
 
CFOW Nuts & Bolts
Please consider getting involved with Concerned Families of Westchester.  Weather permitting, we meet for a protest/rally each Saturday in Hastings, at 12 noon at the VFW Plaza (Warburton and Spring St.)  A "Black Lives Matter/Say Their Names" vigil is held each Monday from 5:30 to 6:00 pm in Yonkers at the intersection of Warburton Ave. and Odell. To learn about our new project, "Beauty as Fuel for Change," go here; and to make a financial contribution to the project, go here. If you would like to join one of our Zoom meetings, each Tuesday and Thursday at noon, please send a return email for the link. Our newsletter is archived at https://cfow.blogspot.com/; and news of interest and coming events is posted on our CFOW Facebook page.  Another Facebook page focuses on the climate crisis. If you would like to support our work by making a contribution, please send your check to CFOW, PO Box 364, Hastings-on-Hudson, NY 10706. Thanks!
 
Rewards!
This week's Rewards for stalwart readers are inspired by the many events and programs last Monday that celebrated Indigenous People's Day.  On Democracy Now!, singer Buffy Sainte-Marie goes to the root of the matter – What's wrong with calling it Columbus Day? – riffing on calls for the repeal of the "Doctrine of Discovery," the pseudo-legal scholarship of past times that justified "Christian" rule over the semi-humans of the New World.  And of the many great songs in Buffy Sainte-Marie's repertoire, here are "Universal Soldier,"  "The War Racket," and her rendition of "America the Beautiful."  Enjoy!
 
Best wishes,
Frank Brodhead
For CFOW
 
CFOW Weekly Reader
 
Featured Essays
(Video) "This Time Feels Different": Iran's Women & Youth-Led Protests Continue to Grow Amid Brutal Crackdown
From Democracy Now! [October 13, 2022]
---- Anti-government protests in Iran, first sparked last month by the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, have moved into their fourth week. The youth and women-led protests cross class and ethnic divides, and the demands have grown in scale and scope, with many, even in the clerical community, now calling for the complete abolition of the Islamic Republic. Many sectors of society, including businesses and unions, have also joined in protest, with oil workers from one of the country's major refineries going on strike Monday. Iranian authorities have launched a violent assault on protesters in response, explains Amnesty International's Raha Bahreini, with security forces shooting live ammunition into crowds to disperse the protests, leaving thousands injured and at least 144 victims dead, 24 of them children. The government violence is "indicative of just what a threat the regime believes these protests are," argues Iranian American scholar Reza Aslan, who says that despite numerous revolutions in Iran's history, "this time feels different." [See the Program]   -
 
Also of interest – It was on Democracy Now! that I first heard the now-famous song  "Because of ...." [And another version.] [And in Australia.  Many more on line.] The words of the song are taken from tweets responding to the killing of protesters in Iran, and the demands being made by the protesters for more personal freedom and a better life. The singer was arrested 3 weeks ago for publishing this song. Please listen. And for an in-depth look at some background to the uprising, read "Khamenei's Dilemma," by Christopher de Bellaigue, New York Review of Books [October 13, 2022] [Link].  And Peter Beinart has some interesting things to say in a video posted today, "Who Should We Trust to Support Freedom in Iran?" [Link].
 
A Fast-Emptying Ark: The World Grows Quieter by the Day
By Bill McKibben, founder of 350.org [October 13, 2022]
---- I confess, for reasons I can't fully explain, that when bad things are happening to animals I tend to look away in pain. When bad things are happening to people I try to face those things squarely and do what I can, but there's something about wildlife—perhaps the way its become implicated in our strange human game without having the slightest agency at all—that just confounds me; some kind of sad and disabling rage fills me. Sometimes, however, the truths are just too overwhelming to avoid. A vast new study finds there are 70 percent fewer wild animals sharing the earth with us than there were in 1970. Read that again. And again. … But that's not what makes me so desperately sad. It's that so many trillions of animals are dead, gone. The world is so much lonelier than it's ever been before, at least in the long eons since fish started crawling out on land. The wondrous, comical, cruel, buzzing, gaudy, sexy carnival that is Life has shut down most of its tents; the symphony of grunts, squeaks, roars, belches and barks has faded to a diminuendo chorus. The creatures that always informed human dreams — that ended up on masks and totem poles, daubed on the walls of caves — have wandered away into the mist. Over those five decades most of the decline can be traced to habitat destruction: the human desire for ever more stuff playing out daily, acre by acre, across the globe. [Read More]
 
Noam Chomsky: Brazil's Runoff Election Will Have Enormous Effects on the Global Climate Crisis
An interview with C.J. Polychroniou, Truthout [October 13, 2022]
---- A century ago, Brazil was declared to be "the Colossus of the South," set to lead the hemisphere along with "the Colossus of the North." Since then, the northern Colossus has replaced Britain as the virtual ruler of the world, extending its power far beyond the dreams of what is now Washington's junior partner. The southern Colossus has stumbled. It is important to understand how. … The destruction of democracy was welcomed by Kennedy-Johnson Ambassador to Brazil Lincoln Gordon as a "democratic rebellion," "a great victory for the free world" that should "create a greatly improved climate for private investments." This democratic rebellion was "the single most decisive victory of freedom in the mid-twentieth century," Gordon continued, "one of the major turning points in world history" in this period. Gordon was right. The vicious military junta in Brazil was the first of the neo-Nazi terror-and-torture National Security States that then spread over Latin America, a plague that reached Central America under Reagan's murderous regime. A Bolsonaro victory would likely doom the Amazon. A Lula victory might be able to save it, averting a disaster for Brazil and a catastrophe for life on earth. [Read More]
 
War & Peace
Nuclear Extortion? Abolish Nuclear Weapons
By Marcy Winograd and Medea Benjamin, Code Pink [October 16, 2022]
---- In a moment of candor, President Biden told Democratic Party contributors the risk of nuclear "Armageddon" is the highest since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, when the Soviet Union installed nuclear missiles in Cuba, 90 miles from Florida. Referring to Russian President Putin's veiled threats to use short-range nuclear weapons in Ukraine, the President added it was the first time since the Cuban Missile Crisis such a "direct threat" had been issued. Not true. The US has a history of nuclear extortion. [FB - Korean War, Vietnam War, Iran in 2007, North Korea during Trump, near Russia in 2020, etc.] … The uncomfortable truth is that as long as there are nuclear weapons, we are all hostage to those few individuals who can order their launch. On the anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis, the answer is not to build more nuclear weapons, but to return to the arms control treaties Bush and Trump abandoned and to sign on to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons to abolish nuclear weapons from the face of the earth. [Read More]
 
Surviving the Killing Fields: a Worldwide Challenge
By Kathy Kelly and Nick Mottern, BanKillerDrones.org [October 12, 2022]
---- Awaiting discharge from a hospital in Cairo, Adel Al Manthari, a Yemeni civilian, faces months of physical therapy and mounting medical bills following three surgeries since 2018, when a U.S. weaponized drone killed four of his cousins and left him mangled, burnt and barely alive, bedridden to this day. On October 7th, President Biden announced, through Administration officials briefing the press, a new policy regulating U.S. drone attacks, a new policy regulating U.S. drone attacks,  purportedly intended to reduce the numbers of civilian casualties from the attacks. Absent from the briefings was any mention of regret or compensation for the thousands of civilians like Adel and his family whose lives have been forever altered by a drone attack. Human rights organizations like the UK- based Reprieve have sent numerous requests to the U.S. Department of Defense and the State Department, seeking compensation to assist with Adel's medical care, but no action has been taken. … The Biden administration seems keen to depict a kinder, gentler form of drone attacks, avoiding collateral damage by using more precise weapons like the "ninja bomb" and assuring that President Biden himself orders any attacks waged in countries where the United States is not at war.  [Read More] Also insightful (and alarming) is "Israel Authorizes Military to Kill Palestinians With Drones in the West Bank," by Marjorie Cohn, Truthout [October 13, 2022] [Link].
 
The World's Other Nuclear Flashpoint: Mounting Tensions Over Taiwan
By Michael T. Klare, Tom Dispatch [October 2022]
---- Thanks to Vladimir Putin's recent implicit threat to employ nuclear weapons if the U.S. and its NATO allies continue to arm Ukraine — "This is not a bluff," he insisted on September 21st — the perils in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict once again hit the headlines. And it's entirely possible, as ever more powerful U.S. weapons pour into Ukraine and Russian forces suffer yet more defeats, that the Russian president might indeed believe that the season for threats is ending and only the detonation of a nuclear weapon will convince the Western powers to back off. If so, the war in Ukraine could prove historic in the worst sense imaginable — the first conflict since World War II to lead to nuclear devastation. But hold on! As it happens, Ukraine isn't the only place on the planet where a nuclear conflagration could erupt in the near future. Sad to say, around the island of Taiwan — where U.S. and Chinese forces are engaging in ever more provocative military maneuvers — there is also an increasing risk that such moves by both sides could lead to nuclear escalation. While neither American nor Chinese officials have explicitly threatened to use such weaponry, both sides have highlighted possible extreme outcomes there. [Read More]
 
Civil Liberties
Anti-boycott laws are a dystopian nightmare
By Hamzah Khan, Mondoweiss [October 4, 2022]
---- Few things have as much bipartisan support in the U.S. as unconditional support for Israel. Ironically, while criticisms of the U.S. government are protected by the First Amendment, lawmakers from both sides of the aisle have made it nearly impossible to criticize Israel without facing tangible consequences like public smearing, and even financial loss. Across the U.S., 34 states — from "blue" states like California and New York to "red" states like Texas and South Carolina — have passed some form of legislation that makes it illegal for the state to contract with businesses and individuals who participate in Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions (BDS), a grassroots movement founded by Palestinian civil society that seeks to pressure Israel to abide by international law. … These anti-BDS laws have been wielded to disastrous effect, with state governments targeting individuals and companies alike who seek to exercise their right to boycott an apartheid state. By punishing boycotts of Israel, U.S. legislators encroach on Americans' First Amendment rights.  [Read More]
 
The State of the Union
(Video) "People Do Have Power": Frances Fox Piven at 90 on Movements, Preserving Democratic Rights, & Fascism
From Democracy Now! [October 11, 2022]
---- As the United States heads into another recession and labor organizing is surging, we speak with leading sociologist and longtime social movement scholar Frances Fox Piven as she turns 90 years old. "We're at another juncture: a bitter contest about democratic rights," says Piven, who claims the U.S. has always been a "limited democracy." Despite attacks on fundamental rights, Piven says, "people do have power" to organize and protect their rights, because "we live in a complex, integrated society where the activities of ordinary people really do matter." Piven's groundbreaking books include "Regulating the Poor" and "Poor People's Movements: Why They Succeed, How They Fail" with her late husband and collaborator Richard Cloward. [See the Program]
 
Israel/Palestine
Progressives and Palestinians
---- Last year three established human rights organizations with reputations for reliable findings produced fact-based public reports demonstrating Israel's apartheid nature. Notably, B'tselem, Israel's own human rights organization, produced its report in January of 2021. Amnesty International followed in February and Human Rights Watch in April.  The Israeli government reacted in two ways:  (1) They denounced these reports as anti-Semitic. … (2) In August of 2022, "Israeli forces raided the offices of seven Palestinian human rights groups causing extensive property damage and issuing military orders to shut them down. This followed Israel's earlier characterization of those organizations as 'terrorist' and 'unlawful.'" … The issue of ignoring the facts made public by an array of human rights organizations, and now reinforced by the reported repressive behavior of the Israeli authorities, is an important one for American politicians who claim to be progressives. American politicians and other supporters of Israel who deny there is any apartheid problem face the cognitive dissonance that comes with "holding two or more contradictory beliefs, thoughts, or values at the same time." [Read More] Also of interest is "Draconian tactics are the only defense Israel has left," by October 5, 2022] [Link].

Sunday, October 9, 2022

CFOW Newsletter - Is the war in Ukraine heading for a nuclear "Armageddon"?

Concerned Families of Westchester Newsletter
October 9, 2022
 
Hello All – Where is this war in Ukraine going?  The Deep Thinkers in the US media are discussing whether Russia's President Putin might use "tactical" nuclear weapons if he felt cornered and defeated, with further discussion about whether this would escalate to an all-out nuclear war.  Of course this is insane, and a sign that our governing class is demented and out of control.  Dozens of Pentagon studies have confirmed that, once nuclear weapons are used, escalation to the final destruction of civilization may be unstoppable.  Are we OK with this?
 
This week President Biden warned of "Armageddon" [the Biblical battle at the end of the world] if President Putin continued on his present course.  Right now the Pentagon and NATO seem to have only one answer to this threat: raise the ante and defeat the Russians before they can end the world.  Nowhere, as far as anyone can tell, are there the customary "back channel" negotiations that secretly explore peace or negotiating possibilities.  Let us fervently hope that there is something going on, behind the scenes, perhaps involving China or further efforts by Turkey, which is working to stop this madness before it runs off the cliff.  But any success in braking the military escalation depends on a decision by the USA to a) abandon the idea of using the war to destroy or cripple Russia, and b) a willingness to use its leverage to coerce Ukraine to accept some loss of territory in exchange for an end to the fighting.  Neither of these conditions is in sight.
 
A major incident this week was the sabotage of the giant gas pipeline, "Nord Stream," which sends Russian gas to Europe.  While the gas flow had been turned off (by Russia) at the time it was blown up, it seems unlikely that it will/could be repaired in time to provide gas to Europe.  Many consequences, and many unknowns, follow from this; but of immediate interest is the question of "Who done it?"  Two articles linked below argue that the sabotage was done by the United States, or by actors working on behalf of NATO.  If true, this is quite astounding, and raises further questions about the war aims of the USA in guiding the war to defend Ukraine against Russia.
 
Some useful reading about the war in Ukraine
 
Who Deserves a Nobel Peace Prize in Ukraine?
Ariel Gold [FOR] and Medea Benjamin [Code Pink], Antiwar.com [October 7, 2022]
---- When Russia invaded in February 2022, Ukraine suspended its citizens' right to conscientious objection and forbade men between the ages of 18 and 60 from leaving the country; nevertheless, since February, over 100,000 Ukrainian draft-eligible men managed to flee instead of fight. According to a source inside Russia's Federal Security Service, within three days of Russia's announcement that it was drafting 300,000 more recruits, 261,000 men fled the country. Those who could booked flights; others drove, bicycled, and walked across the border. … Had the Nobel Peace Prize awardees been the Russian, Ukrainian, and Belarusian organizations that are supporting war resisters and peacemakers, it would have drawn global attention to the courageous young men taking this stand and perhaps opened more avenues for them to get asylum abroad. It could have also initiated a much-needed conversation about how the US is supplying Ukraine with an endless flow of weapons but not pushing for negotiations to end a war so dangerous that President Biden is warning of "nuclear Armageddon." It certainly would have been more in line with Alfred Nobel's desire to bring global recognition to those who have "done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations and the abolition or reduction of standing armies." [Read More]
 
The CIA Thought Putin Would Quickly Conquer Ukraine. Why Did They Get It So Wrong?
By James Risen and Ken Klippenstein, The Intercept [October 5, 2022]
---- When Putin invaded in February, U.S. intelligence officials told the White House that Russia would win in a matter of days by quickly overwhelming the Ukrainian army, according to current and former U.S. intelligence officials, who asked not to be named to discuss sensitive information. By the time of the February invasion, the CIA was already planning how to provide covert support for a Ukrainian insurgency following a Russian military victory, the officials said. … Yet clandestine American operations inside Ukraine are now far more extensive than they were early in the war, when U.S. intelligence officials were fearful that Russia would steamroll over the Ukrainian army. There is a much larger presence of both CIA and U.S. special operations personnel and resources in Ukraine than there were at the time of the Russian invasion in February, several current and former intelligence officials told The Intercept. Secret U.S. operations inside Ukraine are being conducted under a presidential covert action finding, current and former officials said. The finding indicates that the president has quietly notified certain congressional leaders about the administration's decision to conduct a broad program of clandestine operations inside the country. [Read More]
 
Also of interest re: the war in Ukraine – "Putin's Draft Order Has Inspired a Russian Exodus," by October 5, 2022] [Link]; and "A Guide to "Tactical" Nuclear Weapons and Why Putin is Unlikely to Use Them in Ukraine," b [Link]. The Financial Times [UK] publishes frequently updated maps of the military situation in Ukraine; very useful, imo.
 
CFOW Nuts & Bolts
Please consider getting involved with Concerned Families of Westchester.  Weather permitting, we meet for a protest/rally each Saturday in Hastings, at 12 noon at the VFW Plaza (Warburton and Spring St.)  A "Black Lives Matter/Say Their Names" vigil is held each Monday from 5:30 to 6:00 pm in Yonkers at the intersection of Warburton Ave. and Odell. To learn about our new project, "Beauty as Fuel for Change," go here; and to make a financial contribution to the project, go here. If you would like to join one of our Zoom meetings, each Tuesday and Thursday at noon, please send a return email for the link. Our newsletter is archived at https://cfow.blogspot.com/; and news of interest and coming events is posted on our CFOW Facebook page.  Another Facebook page focuses on the climate crisis. If you would like to support our work by making a contribution, please send your check to CFOW, PO Box 364, Hastings-on-Hudson, NY 10706. Thanks!
 
Rewards!
The Rewards for stalwart readers this week are some music from Loretta Lynn, the "Coal Miner's Daughter," who passed away this week.  Many of her songs were about difficult personal situations, such as "Another Man Loved Me Last Night" or "Wings Upon Your Horns." I also like the duets she recorded with Conway Twitty, not least "You're the Reason Our Children Are Ugly." Lots more on line.  Enjoy!
 
Best wishes,
Frank Brodhead
For CFOW
 
CFOW Weekly Reader
 
Featured Essays
What You Don't Have and Why
By Adam Hochschild, TomDispatch [October 8, 2022]
---- In a multitude of ways, we're known for having a far weaker social safety net than many other wealthy countries and behind that lies a history in which the Espionage Act played a crucial role. … Why hasn't our country done better, compared to so many others? There are certainly many reasons, not least among them the relentless, decades-long propaganda barrage from the American right, painting every proposed strengthening of public health and welfare — from unemployment insurance to Social Security to Medicare to Obamacare — as an ominous step down the road to socialism. This is nonsense, of course, since the classic definition of socialism is public ownership of the means of production, an agenda item not on any imaginable American political horizon. In another sense, though, the charge is historically accurate because, both here and abroad, significant advances in health and welfare have often been spearheaded by socialist parties. [Read More]
 
Optimism of the Will: Noam Chomsky on Organizing, Labor and taking on the Corporations
From Tomdispatch.com [October 2022]
---- [The following is excerpted in shortened form from Chapter 9 of Notes on Resistance by Noam Chomsky and David Barsamian, published by Haymarket Books.]
David Barsamian: What we are facing is often described as unprecedented — a pandemic, climate catastrophe and, always lurking off center stage, nuclear annihilation. Three of the four horsemen of the apocalypse.
Noam Chomsky: I can add a fourth: the impending destruction of what remains of American democracy and the shift of the United States toward a deeply authoritarian, also proto-fascist, state, when the Republicans come back into office, which looks likely. So, that's four horses. And remember that the Republicans are the denialist party, committed to racing to climate destruction with abandon in the hands of the chief wrecker they now worship like a demigod. It's bad news for the United States and for the world, given the power of this country. [Read More]
 
Omerta in the Gangster War [Ukraine and Russia's pipeline]
By Diana Johnstone, Consortium News [September 28, 2022]
[FB] For about a half century, Diana Johnstone has been an ex-patriot in Europe, writing informative books and articles of (imo) great interest. This article is headed "The sabotage of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline has virtually announced that the war in Ukraine can only intensify with no end in sight."  Read on.
---- Imperialist wars are waged to conquer lands, peoples, territories.  Gangster wars are waged to remove competitors.  In gangster wars you issue an obscure warning, then you smash the windows or burn the place down. Gangster war is what you wage when you already are the boss and won't let any outsider muscle in on your territory.  For the dons in Washington, the territory can be just about everywhere, but its core is occupied Europe. By an uncanny coincidence, Joe Biden just happens to look like a mafia boss, to talk like a mafia boss, to wear a little lopsided half smile like a mafia boss.  Just watch the now famous video:
 
Pres. Biden: "If Russia invades…then there will be no longer a Nord Stream 2. We will bring an end to it."
Reporter: "But how will you do that, exactly, since…the project is in Germany's control?"
Biden: "I promise you, we will be able to do that."
 
Able for sure. [Read More] Also of interest for further investigation is "Can Europe Afford To Turn a Blind Eye to Evidence of a US Role in Pipeline Blasts?" by Jonathan Cook, Mint Press News [October 6, 2022] [Link]. For more background, read "The battle over Nord Stream 2: How to sabotage a pipeline," by Pierre Rimbert, Mondodiplomatique [May 9, 2021][Link].
 
War & Peace
War or Peace Is the Most Neglected Issue on the November Ballot
By John Nichols, The Nation [October 6, 2022]
---- Often, when the most significant questions of war and peace should be up for discussion, they are neglected.  That's been the case so far this year, as 2022 midterm races have been focused almost entirely on domestic issues. Amid the lingering challenges posed by the coronavirus pandemic, and with inflation unsettling the economy and abortion bans spreading across the country, that's understandable. But neglecting issues of war and peace doesn't make them go away. The fact is that the question of war or peace is on the ballot this year, whether or not most politicians and the media choose to pay attention to the very real threats that exist. The brutal Russian assault on Ukraine continues, with signs that Russian President Vladimir Putin is growing ever more desperate. Tensions in countries that neighbor Russia and Ukraine have contributed to a reshaping of the European order, as nations that had once resisted joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organization are now rushing to do so. … A big part of the problem is with the media, which is ever more rigidly focused on domestic policy debates in general, and on the latest misdeeds of Donald Trump in particular. It is important to keep an eye on Trump and his right-wing nationalist allies. But doing so to the exclusion of all other issues, especially issues of war and peace, is a mistake—one that could ultimately cost American lives and treasure. Yet, by every evidence, it is a mistake that most media outlets are making. [Read More]
 
The Climate Crisis
From Blah, Blah, Blah to Blood, Blood, Blood
[Holding the COP27 Summit in Egypt's Police State Creates a Moral Crisis for the Climate Movement]
By Naomi Klein, The Intercept [October 7, 2022]
---- No one knows what happened to the lost climate letter. All that is known is this: Alaa Abd El Fattah, arguably Egypt's highest profile political prisoner, wrote it while on a hunger strike in his Cairo prison cell last month. It was, he explained later, "about global warming because of the news from Pakistan." He was concerned about the epic floods that displaced 33 million people at their peak, and what that cataclysm foretold about climate hardships and paltry state responses to come. A visionary technologist and searching intellectual, Abd El Fattah's first name — along with the hashtag #FreeAlaa — have become synonymous with the 2011 pro-democracy revolution that turned Cairo's Tahrir Square into a surging sea of young people that ended the three-decade rule of Egypt's dictator Hosni Mubarak. Behind bars almost continuously for the past decade, Alaa is able to send and receive letters once a week. [Read More]
 
Free Julian Assange!
'End the War on Journalism and Free Assange': Thousands Demand Release of WikiLeaks Founder
By Kenny Stancil, Common Dreams [October 8, 2022]
---- Supporters of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange held a massive transatlantic protest on Saturday to demand freedom for the incarcerated journalist. In London, thousands of people formed a giant human chain around Britain's parliament and called for Assange's immediate release from the nearby maximum-security Belmarsh prison, where he has suffered for years under conditions that experts have condemned as torture. Meanwhile, in Washington D.C., people gathered outside the Department of Justice (DOJ) and implored Attorney General Merrick Garland to end the United States government's attempt to extradite Assange, who faces up to 175 years behind bars on espionage charges stemming from his publication of information that exposed war crimes committed by U.S. forces in Afghanistan, Iraq, and elsewhere. Thames. [Read More]
 
The State of the Union
Puerto Rico's War on Its Poor
By Marisol LeBrón, Boston Review [October 7, 2022]
---- In February 1993, war was declared in Puerto Rico. In a special legislative address, Governor Pedro Rosselló pronounced that the time for half measures was over. The criminals and drug syndicates behind Puerto Rico's surge in violent crime had "asked for war . . . and war they will have." In a dramatic step, the governor would be deploying the National Guard to assist police in drug busts and patrols. This would be a critical component of his government's new crime-fighting platform, Mano Dura Contra el Crimen (Iron Fist Against Crime). … Puerto Rico has had a long history as a laboratory for U.S. domestic and foreign policy. Indeed, the foundation of the contemporary Puerto Rican state—the commonwealth agreement between Puerto Rico and the United States—was conceptualized, in part, as a vehicle to showcase U.S. development strategies to the Third World during the Cold War. Throughout the mid-twentieth century, Puerto Rico was mobilized as an example of the progress that could be achieved through economic and political alignment with the United States. [Read More]  Also of interest is "Puerto Rico: A Microcosm For The Worst Kind Of Capitalist Ideas," b
Our History
Nuclear Annihilation Is a Threat Again [The Cuban Missile Crisis]
By Michael Dobbs, The New York Times [October 5, 2022]
[FB] – This month is the 60th anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis.  Michael Dobbs is a former correspondent for the Washington Posts and the author of a good book about the Cuban Missile Crisis, "One Minute to Midnight: Kennedy, Khrushchev and Castro on the Brink of Nuclear War." Are there lessons for today?  Compare and contrast.
---- Two nuclear-armed states on a collision course with no obvious exit ramp. An erratic Russian leader using apocalyptic language — "if you want us to all meet in hell, it's up to you." Showdowns at the United Nations, with each side accusing the other of essentially gambling with Armageddon. For six decades, the Cuban missile crisis has been viewed as the defining confrontation of the modern age, the world's closest brush with nuclear annihilation. The war in Ukraine presents perils of at least equal magnitude, particularly now that Vladimir Putin has backed himself into a corner by declaring large chunks of neighboring Ukraine as belonging to Russia "forever." As two countries proceed up an escalatory ladder, mistakes become increasingly likely — as the Cuban missile crisis made clear. [Read More] Also of interest is "Lessons From the Cuban Missile Crisis" b [Link].
 

Sunday, October 2, 2022

CFOW Newsletter - Focus on the Russian nuclear threat in the Ukraine war

Concerned Families of Westchester Newsletter
October 2, 2022
 
Hello All – The war in Ukraine entered a new phase two weeks ago when Ukrainian forces broke through Russian defenses in eastern Ukraine, re-gaining much of the territory lost to Russia earlier in the war.  Russia responded by calling up 300,000 military reservists, initiating the annexation of four Ukrainian provinces (the Donbas, Kherson), and threatening to use nuclear weapons if necessary.  Last week these trends developed further, with a massive flight of hundreds of thousands of would-be soldiers exiting Russia, the completion of the incorporation of the four Ukrainian provinces into that state of Russia, and the seizure of yet another important Russian-occupied town by the Ukrainian military.  Tensions were raised even further with the discovery that the NordStream2 gas pipeline had been sabotaged. Where is this going?
 
The war now appears even further from the possibilities of a cease fire and negotiations.  The sudden military collapse has unleashed significant criticism of Russia's "military operation"' in Ukraine, blaming the military leadership for losses and even raising mild questions about the Dear Leader. Presumably Putin will respond with an escalation of the fighting. By incorporating Ukraine's four provinces, Russian propaganda can now claim that attempts to regain this territory by Ukraine would be an attack on the Russian homeland.  As reported in the Washington Post,  "Putin has previously threatened to resort to nuclear weapons if Russia's goals in Ukraine continue to be thwarted. The annexation brings the use of a nuclear weapon a step closer by giving Putin a potential justification on the grounds that 'the territorial integrity of our country is threatened,' as he put it in his speech last week." The capture of the Ukrainian town of Lyman yesterday suggests that the successes of the Ukrainian military offensive may continue.  One military analyst
 
… believes that the Russian front in the Donbas is still in danger of imminent collapse. If this were to happen, Putin would need to escalate even further. This could take the form of more attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, but, if the goal is to stop Ukrainian advances, a likelier option would be a small tactical nuclear strike. [The analyst] suggests that it would be under one kiloton—that is, about fifteen times smaller than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima. It would nonetheless be devastating, and would almost certainly lead to an intense reaction from the West. [Link].
 
It appears that the only possible barrier to a prolonged war and perhaps an existential disaster is a change-of-course by the US political and military leadership. Yet there is no sign of this at the moment; and the The New York Times reported on Thursday that "The US is planning to establish a new command base in Germany that will focus entirely on supporting Ukraine in its war against Russia." Antiwar.com reports that
 
While President Biden has insisted no US troops will be sent to Ukraine, establishing a command solely for the purpose of supporting the war is a step in that direction. There's no indication yet that the possibility is being discussed, but there is reportedly a CIA presence on the ground in Ukraine and some US allies have special operations forces deployed in Ukraine. Members of Congress have called for sending "military advisors" to Ukraine to facilitate the transfer of weapons.
 
Under the circumstances, we have no choice but to make all possible efforts to alert our friends and neighbors to the dangers we face, and to pressure our congressional representatives and the mainstream media to cease giving a blank check for this war, but to demand an immediate cease fire and negotiations to end the war.
 
 Useful reading about the Ukraine War
 
Putin annexations mean US-Russian talks more critical than ever
By Anatol Lieven, Responsible Statecraft ]September 30, 2022]
---- The Russian government's move today to annex the territories it has occupied in Ukraine is absolutely illegal, as well as a very serious escalation of the conflict. The local "referendums" in support of this move were a sham and will quite rightly be condemned by the vast majority of states around the world.  Even states like China that have been so far unaligned with the West and more sympathetic to Russia in this conflict have made clear that they will never accept forced annexations. The Russian action greatly complicates the search for an eventual peace settlement, as Ukraine and Western nations won't formally accept nor recognize the annexation. At the same time, once these territories have been officially accepted into Russia under the Russian constitution, it will be much more difficult for a future Russian government to give them up. Nonetheless, barring the very unlikely prospect of a complete victory for either side, at some stage a ceasefire to end full-scale war will still be necessary. Above all, the drastic nature of the Russian action makes it even more essential that Washington and Moscow enter into direct talks to prevent the war from spreading and escalating into a direct clash between the United States and Russia, which in the worst scenario could lead to a nuclear exchange that would destroy civilization. [Read More]
 
"End War in Ukraine" Say 66 Nations at UN General Assembly
By Medea Benjamin and Nicolas J.S. Davies, Code Pink [September 30, 2022]
---- We have spent much of the past week reading and listening to speeches by world leaders at the UN General Assembly in New York. Most of them condemned Russia's invasion of Ukraine as a violation of the UN Charter and a serious setback for the peaceful world order that is the UN's founding and defining principle. But what has not been reported in the United States is that leaders from 66 countries, mostly from the Global South, also used their General Assembly speeches to call urgently for diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine through peaceful negotiations, as the UN Charter requires. We have compiled excerpts from the speeches of all 66 countries to show the breadth and depth of their appeals, and we highlight a few of them here. …The 66 nations that called for peace in Ukraine make up more than a third of the countries in the world, and they represent most of the Earth's population, including India, China, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Brazil and Mexico. [Read More]
 
CFOW Nuts & Bolts
Please consider getting involved with Concerned Families of Westchester.  Weather permitting, we meet for a protest/rally each Saturday in Hastings, at 12 noon at the VFW Plaza (Warburton and Spring St.)  A "Black Lives Matter/Say Their Names" vigil is held each Monday from 5:30 to 6:00 pm in Yonkers at the intersection of Warburton Ave. and Odell. To learn about our new project, "Beauty as Fuel for Change," go here; and to make a financial contribution to the project, go here. If you would like to join one of our Zoom meetings, each Tuesday and Thursday at noon, please send a return email for the link. Our newsletter is archived at https://cfow.blogspot.com/; and news of interest and coming events is posted on our CFOW Facebook page.  Another Facebook page focuses on the climate crisis. If you would like to support our work by making a contribution, please send your check to CFOW, PO Box 364, Hastings-on-Hudson, NY 10706. Thanks!
 
Rewards!
The Rewards for stalwart readers this week come from two early Miles Davis jazz albums that accompanied me while writing this Newsletter.  One I like very much is the 1959 "Kind of Blue."  The second album is from 1957, "Miles Ahead."  Haven't heard these in awhile?  Enjoy!
 
Best wishes,
Frank Brodhead
For CFOW
 
CFOW Weekly Reader
 
Featured Essays
Extreme Events are the New Normal…and Not Just in the Weather
---- Extreme events are taking place not only in the physical climate. They take place as well in the political climate. January 6, 2021, the storming of the Capitol in the United States, was another such event. The return of the Marcoses, Trump's incitement to rebellion, Narendra Modi's ethnonationalist regime in India, Jair Bolsonaro's fascistoid government in Brazil, and just in the last few days, the electoral triumphs of the far right in traditionally Social Democratic Sweden and, horror of horrors, in the birthplace of fascism itself, Italy—all of these are extreme events, and they are, in turn, symptoms of a much larger extreme event:  the deepening crisis of liberal democracy. Extreme events also mark the economic climate, and the current coincidence of galloping inflation and stagnation is one such event. Another is the emergence of extreme inequality. Another is the breakdown of global supply chains, threatening not just delays and derailments in manufacturing but also food insecurity and hunger, especially in the global South. All these three extreme events—stagflation, extreme inequality, supply-chain breakdown–stem from a bigger extreme event: the unraveling of the triad of financialization, globalization, and neoliberal ideology that have served as the pillars of the global capitalist economy over the last 40 years. [Read More]
 
"The Wind Knows Your Name": Remembering William Rivers Pitt
By Dahr Jamail, Truthout [September 30, 2022]
---- The title of William Rivers Pitt's unpublished book about the pandemic is: Please Take This, Because I Love You and I Might Die. A COVID Diary. He sent me the manuscript not too long ago so I could read it, and give him input on where it might make the most sense to have it published. With the pandemic, as he was consistently able to do, Will saw what was coming, knew the consequences could well be catastrophic, and behaved accordingly. Each of those things is a true gift. The ability (and willingness) to see what was coming before most people, knowing in his heart what the consequences could mean, and then taking appropriate actions to prepare. [Read More]
 
(Video) Freedom Dreams Revisited, with Robin D.G. Kelley
[Streamed live from the Schomburg Center on [September 13, 2022]
[FB] – For more than two decades Robin D. G. Kelley has been writing innovative and illuminating studies about Black America and racial capitalism.  Freedom Dreams is one of his best.  Enjoy!]
---- A conversation as we revisit Kelley's ground breaking publication Freedom Dreams: The Black Radical Imagination, two decades after its publication. "...The book's title does not suggest wishful thinking or dreaming. The Black radical imagination is not a kind of dream state conjured and nurtured despite day-to-day struggles on the ground. It is rather forged in collective movements. My central point is that we cannot divorce critical analysis from social movements." [See the Program]
 
The Protests in Iran
(Video) "Women! Life! Freedom!" Iranian Women Lead Nationwide Protests After Death of Mahsa Amini
From Democracy Now! [September 27, 2022]
---- Dozens of people in Iran have been killed in a series of escalating women-led protests demanding justice for Mahsa Amini, a 22-year-old Kurdish woman who died in the custody of the so-called morality police. Amini was detained on September 13 for allegedly leaving some of her hair visible in violation of Iran's hijab law. Iranian American writer Hoda Katebi calls the protests "exciting and beautiful," bringing together women from across economic and ethnic backgrounds and opening up conversations about the policing of women's bodies. She says the government is using the protests to "advance nationalist ideas," crack down on Kurdish communities and propel a false narrative of an uprising against Islam. Katebi's recent piece for the Los Angeles Times is titled "Iranian women are rising up to demand freedom. Are we listening?" [See the Program]  Also of interest are "Protests Against Compulsory Hijab Sweep Iran, With Spotlight on Bodily Autonomy," by Frieda Afary, Truthout [October 1, 2022] [Link]; and "Iran on fire: Once again, women are on the vanguard of transformative change," by Vrinda Narain and Fatemeh Sadeghi, [September 26, 2022] [Link]. For the latest short videos of street protests, go to twitter.com and search for "Iran protests." Many, many.
 
Brazil's Election – Today!
(Video) Noam Chomsky & Vijay Prashad: A Lula Victory in Brazil Could Help Save the Planet
From Democracy Now! [September 30, 2022]
---- Noam Chomsky joins us from Brazil with Vijay Prashad, just back from Brazil, to discuss Sunday's Brazilian election between Brazil's far-right President Jair Bolsonaro and former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Chomsky and Prashad are co-authors of the new book, "The Withdrawal: Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and the Fragility of U.S. Power." [See the Program]  Also of interest is (Video) "Brazil's Lula Goes into Sunday Election with Massive Lead. Will Bolsonaro Accept an Electoral Defeat?" from Democracy Now! [September 30, 2022] [See the Program].
 
War & Peace
UN Envoy Warns Fighting Will Rage in Yemen If Ceasefire Isn't Extended
By Dave DeCamp, Antiwar.com [September 28, 2022]
---- The UN envoy for Yemen on Tuesday warned of the risk of more fighting breaking out in Yemen if the warring parties don't agree to extend the current ceasefire, which is due to expire on October 2. Fighting has been reported on the ground, and both sides have accused the other of violating the ceasefire. But Saudi airstrikes in Yemen and Houthi attacks inside Saudi Arabia have not been reported for months, marking the longest period of calm since the US-backed Saudi coalition intervened in Yemen in 2015. … The Saudis have eased the blockade on Yemen somewhat as some flights have left Sanaa airport and more fuel ships are entering the Red Sea port of Hodeidah. But the blockade has not been fully lifted, which has long been a demand of the Houthis as a condition for peace talks. … As the fragile ceasefire has held, war powers resolutions have been introduced in Congress to end US involvement in the war, which would effectively ground the Saudi air force since it relies on US maintenance.  Resolutions have been introduced in both the House and the Senate and have over 100 bipartisan cosponsors. Call 1-833-Stop-War to tell your representative in Congress to support the legislation. The UN estimates that the US-backed war on Yemen and the conditions it has caused have killed at least 377,000 people, more than half of which are children under the age of five. [Read More]
 
The Death of the Iran Deal Was Entirely Avoidable
By Branko Marcetic, Jacobin Magazine [September 2022]
---- After a seemingly never-ending will-they-won't-they on the US-Iranian revival of the Iran nuclear deal, we seem to have an answer: they won't. As of today, officials from the United States, Europe, and Israel all say that the deal, also known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), is dead, at least for the foreseeable future. Reentering the deal was a major campaign promise of Joe Biden's, it was something he didn't need Congress to do, and it would have meant restoring one of the signature achievements of his Democratic predecessor, whose accomplishments Biden virtually treated as his own on the campaign trail. So how did it fail?  [Read More]
 
The Climate Crisis
Hurricane Ian Is a Storm That We Knew Would Occur: Too much climate energy, too little climate action.
By September 28, 2022]
---- Hurricane Ian, which made landfall in southwest Florida on Wednesday, may join that lineage of truly monster storms—Katrina, Sandy, Camille—whose names are repeated for generations. Ian hit Cuba on Tuesday as a Category 3 hurricane, causing an island-wide blackout that left eleven million people without power. The storm blessedly moved a little to the east overnight, sparing Tampa Bay a direct hit; it cursedly jumped in strength to the very border of Category 5 on the intensity scale, and so Floridians face a deadly combination of roaring wind, surging ocean, and pelting rain. Whatever the eventual damage, it's already another stark demonstration of what happens when there's too much physical energy in a closed system, and too little political energy. [Read More] And also by Bill McKibben, (Video) "Victory Over Big Oil as Sen. Manchin Forced to Drop 'Hideous Deal' on Energy," from Democracy Now! [September 28, 2022] [Link].
 
Israel/Palestine
An Open Letter to American-Jewish Intellectuals
By Edward Said, Jewish Currents [September 21, 2022]
[FB] – Before his untimely death in 2003, Edward Said was a leading intellectual in both Palestine and the USA, where he taught at Columbia.  As part of the Palestinian Diaspora, and as a member of the Palestinian National Council, he advocated for effective, non-violent strategies that would advance Palestinian self-determination.  This essay, written in the midst of what is now known as the First Intifada (uprising), remained unpublished until now.  For some context, Jewish Currents has also published useful essays by Nubar Hovsepian and Peter Beinart.
---- [ES] - When Jews speak of Israel as a place they come home to, you will allow that their word "home" to Palestinian ears has a death-like effect. I do not minimize what for Jews is an age-old problem of persecuted alienation and exile, but you also must understand the wounding immediacy for us of quite literally witnessing our home turned into someone else's house, country, even as the number of Palestinian dead—shot, beaten, asphyxiated—by Israel for the past five decades continues to increase and is now in the uncounted thousands. During the intifada alone the toll has gone beyond the 600-person mark. So what was decided at the Algiers PNC meetings therefore has an import little short of national self-amputation, done consciously and, I would want to insist, courageously in the interests of peace and some measure of justice for a deprived, much aggrieved and suffering nation. Palestinians of my generation knew Palestine as a predominantly Arab country, albeit one held by the British and, to us, gradually infiltrated by European Jews, who for all their theoretical protestations seemed to be coming to a land they knew principally via religion and ideology. The sudden cataclysmic rupture whereby a land and home once ours were declared to be the Jewish state of Israel cannot be contemptuously dismissed since its definitiveness affected every single Palestinian. [Read More]
 
The Return of the Two-State Solution Illusion
By
----For Democrats in the United States and the political "centrists" in Israel—represented by Joe Biden and Yair Lapid, respectively—the loss of credibility for the two-state solution has meant losing more and more support for Israeli policies. Younger Democrats are increasingly supportive of Palestinians and less so of Israeli policies. 
These facts explain the theater we have witnessed in recent days at the United Nations General Assembly and in the American media scene, where the lone Palestinian woman ever elected to Congress has come under unrelenting attack from her own party as well as the opposition. … The U.S. will advocate for lasting negotiations, the hallmark of the Oslo process; endless negotiations that lead nowhere while Israeli settlements spread farther across the West Bank, Gaza slowly dies of poverty, and the status quo in East Jerusalem gradually fades into Jewish dominance. And above all, Israeli "security" is guarded "full stop," and if there is any room left for any Palestinian rights, those will be considered according to Israel's wishes. [Read More]
 
Our History
The U.S. and the Holocaust, PBS [available until 10/16]
---- [FB] I highly recommend the documentary by film by Ken Burns and his team, "The U.S. and the Holocaust, now available (free) on PBS until October 16.  The film "examines the rise of Hitler and Nazism in Germany in the context of global antisemitism and racism, the eugenics movement in the United States and race laws in the American south."  Much of the film (some incredible footage) is about the situation and fate of Jews in Germany, Poland, and points east from 1933 to 1945.  But the focus returns again and again to how and why the United States was unwilling to allow Jewish (indeed, all) refugees into the USA; and through interviews with members of several Jewish families we learn what these barriers meant for their chances for survival. See the three-part documentary film here.
 
Because the film is so critical of the USA, though perhaps a bit soft on FDR himself, it will probably generate a lot of controversy.  To get started, read the "All Things Considered"/NPR interview with Ken Burns here; and The Nation has an interesting dialogue on the film with two well-informed historians, "Ken Burns Gets at the Nasty Underbelly of American History," here.